Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 4:03 AM to 4:32 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 11, 2026 at 4:03 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read -9.97132. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:32 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-14.7-1.74411.21Sep 11, 4:03 AM ET4:32 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:03 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-14.7-1.74411.21Sep 11, 4:03 AM ET4:32 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:03 AM ET-9.97132
Projected value at 4:32 AM ET-1.05329
Actual value at 4:32 AM ET-15.7066
Projected change across the window+8.91803
Actual change across the window-5.73529
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.55×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.55 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (4:24 AM ET), where they sat 0.692036 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (4:03 AM ET) with a gap of 21.9592. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 15 (4:18 AM ET), a move of +4.85441. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:04 AM12.9554-7.3125-20.2679
64:09 AM6.59808-3.35882-9.9569
124:15 AM5.03715-9.59118-14.6283
184:21 AM3.7999110.8537+7.05377
244:27 AM0.645855-5.00735-5.65321
294:32 AM-1.05329-15.7066-14.6533

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1 minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.