Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 2:37 AM to 3:06 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 11, 2026 at 2:37 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -24.4912. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:06 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-24.6-8.3397.926Sep 11, 2:37 AM ET3:06 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:37 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-24.6-8.3397.926Sep 11, 2:37 AM ET3:06 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:37 AM ET-24.4912
Projected value at 3:06 AM ET1.73162
Actual value at 3:06 AM ET8.08824
Projected change across the window+26.2228
Actual change across the window+32.5794
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.80×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.80 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (2:55 AM ET), where they sat 0.568171 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (2:39 AM ET) with a gap of 23.7191. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (2:48 AM ET), a move of +3.56103. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:38 AM-4.70378-26.7882-22.0845
62:43 AM-1.07069-17.4971-16.4264
122:49 AM-0.0381238-4.95294-4.91482
182:55 AM1.590971.02279-0.568171
243:01 AM0.9423989.47647+8.53407
293:06 AM1.731628.08824+6.35661

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.