Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 2:29 AM to 2:58 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 11, 2026 at 2:29 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -15.1868. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:58 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-13.69-2.5388.613Sep 11, 2:29 AM ET2:58 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:29 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-13.69-2.5388.613Sep 11, 2:29 AM ET2:58 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:29 AM ET-15.1868
Projected value at 2:58 AM ET-0.883573
Actual value at 2:58 AM ET1.52132
Projected change across the window+14.3032
Actual change across the window+16.7081
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.86×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.86 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 5 (2:33 AM ET), where they sat 1.36964 apart, and furthest at bar 15 (2:44 AM ET) with a gap of 14.4006. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (2:58 AM ET), a move of -3.67132. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:30 AM-6.12116-13.5971-7.47589
62:35 AM-5.81481-2.05882+3.75599
122:41 AM-5.631177.23971+12.8709
182:47 AM-4.56088.06176+12.6226
242:53 AM-1.617319.1875+10.8048
292:58 AM-0.8835731.52132+2.4049

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.