Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 1:15 AM to 1:44 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 11, 2026 at 1:15 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 5.98676. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:44 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

2.5319.91617.3Sep 11, 1:15 AM ET1:44 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:15 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

2.5319.91617.3Sep 11, 1:15 AM ET1:44 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:15 AM ET5.98676
Projected value at 1:44 AM ET1.53985
Actual value at 1:44 AM ET1.53897
Projected change across the window-4.44691
Actual change across the window-4.44779
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.00×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.00 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (1:44 AM ET), where they sat 0.000881339 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (1:19 AM ET) with a gap of 12.0596. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (1:23 AM ET), a move of +3.96765. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:16 AM13.78887.94779-5.84104
61:21 AM17.44137.71324-9.72802
121:27 AM12.979218.2934+5.31415
181:33 AM8.8191113.8463+5.02721
241:39 AM3.500938.19265+4.69172
291:44 AM1.539851.53897-0.000881339

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.