Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 1:00 AM to 1:29 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 11, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 15.9096. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:29 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-5.5310.0325.59Sep 11, 1:00 AM ET1:29 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:00 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-5.5310.0325.59Sep 11, 1:00 AM ET1:29 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:00 AM ET15.9096
Projected value at 1:29 AM ET-1.43672
Actual value at 1:29 AM ET26.8243
Projected change across the window-17.3463
Actual change across the window+10.9147
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.59×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.59 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 14 (1:13 AM ET), where they sat 9.14221 apart, and furthest at bar 20 (1:20 AM ET) with a gap of 33.0654. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 18 (1:18 AM ET), a move of +7.56471. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:01 AM-1.8794415.1265+17.0059
61:06 AM-6.8312512.886+19.7173
121:12 AM-7.483053.71324+11.1963
181:18 AM-6.1031621.7809+27.884
241:24 AM-3.8437312.2787+16.1224
291:29 AM-1.4367226.8243+28.261

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.