Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 12:58 AM to 1:27 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 11, 2026 at 12:58 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 15.1265. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:27 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

0.587913.5926.59Sep 11, 12:58 AM ET1:27 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:58 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

0.587913.5926.59Sep 11, 12:58 AM ET1:27 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:58 AM ET15.1265
Projected value at 1:27 AM ET-0.227565
Actual value at 1:27 AM ET28.3316
Projected change across the window-15.354
Actual change across the window+13.2051
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.16×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.16 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 14 (1:11 AM ET), where they sat 1.43597 apart, and furthest at bar 19 (1:17 AM ET) with a gap of 28.8409. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 17 (1:15 AM ET), a move of +7.56471. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:59 AM5.8406414.4721+8.63142
61:04 AM2.9013211.1074+8.20603
121:10 AM0.3949711.94191+1.54694
181:16 AM-0.93412226.25+27.1841
241:22 AM-0.84046710.8301+11.6706
291:27 AM-0.22756528.3316+28.5592

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.