Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 11:28 PM to 11:57 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 11:28 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -2.47426. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:57 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-7.444-3.4840.4769Sep 10, 11:28 PM ET11:57 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:28 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-7.444-3.4840.4769Sep 10, 11:28 PM ET11:57 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:28 PM ET-2.47426
Projected value at 11:57 PM ET-0.220168
Actual value at 11:57 PM ET-4.61029
Projected change across the window+2.2541
Actual change across the window-2.13603
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.06×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.06 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 16 (11:43 PM ET), where they sat 0.197301 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:28 PM ET) with a gap of 5.50165. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 28 (11:56 PM ET), a move of -1.92941. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:29 PM-6.09401-3.33676+2.75724
611:34 PM-3.03106-1.59853+1.43253
1211:40 PM-0.3167570.375735+0.692493
1811:46 PM-0.359434-1.60294-1.24351
2411:52 PM-0.0602579-1.62279-1.56254
2911:57 PM-0.220168-4.61029-4.39013

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.