Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 11:27 PM to 11:56 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 11:27 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -3.49118. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:56 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-10.01-4.8450.3157Sep 10, 11:27 PM ET11:56 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:27 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-10.01-4.8450.3157Sep 10, 11:27 PM ET11:56 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:27 PM ET-3.49118
Projected value at 11:56 PM ET-0.191339
Actual value at 11:56 PM ET-7.31985
Projected change across the window+3.29984
Actual change across the window-3.82868
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.86×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.86 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 16 (11:42 PM ET), where they sat 0.130074 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:27 PM ET) with a gap of 7.20785. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 26 (11:53 PM ET), a move of -1.92941. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:28 PM-8.77819-4.00809+4.7701
611:33 PM-4.374730.230882+4.60561
1211:39 PM-1.38447-0.319118+1.06535
1811:45 PM-0.750654-1.61691-0.866258
2411:51 PM-0.339888-1.58309-1.2432
2911:56 PM-0.191339-7.31985-7.12851

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.