Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 10:45 PM to 11:14 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 10:45 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -21.7875. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:14 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-20.88-9.2362.409Sep 10, 10:45 PM ET11:14 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:45 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-20.88-9.2362.409Sep 10, 10:45 PM ET11:14 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:45 PM ET-21.7875
Projected value at 11:14 PM ET-0.261262
Actual value at 11:14 PM ET-3.0625
Projected change across the window+21.5262
Actual change across the window+18.725
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.15×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.15 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (11:11 PM ET), where they sat 0.46599 apart, and furthest at bar 12 (10:57 PM ET) with a gap of 13.8246. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 19 (11:04 PM ET), a move of +4.52868. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:46 PM-16.691-22.3029-5.6119
610:51 PM-13.6015-20.3103-6.70883
1210:57 PM-8.05851-21.8831-13.8246
1811:03 PM-3.88641-6.82794-2.94153
2411:09 PM-2.146771.18088+3.32765
2911:14 PM-0.261262-3.0625-2.80124

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.