Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 10:39 PM to 11:08 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 10:39 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -20.3103. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:08 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-20.35-8.9552.442Sep 10, 10:39 PM ET11:08 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:39 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-20.35-8.9552.442Sep 10, 10:39 PM ET11:08 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:39 PM ET-20.3103
Projected value at 11:08 PM ET0.232559
Actual value at 11:08 PM ET-5.30662
Projected change across the window+20.5429
Actual change across the window+15.0037
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.37×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.37 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (10:58 PM ET), where they sat 0.157916 apart, and furthest at bar 6 (10:45 PM ET) with a gap of 11.9676. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (10:52 PM ET), a move of +4.52868. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:40 PM-16.3671-20.0059-3.6388
610:45 PM-9.9155-21.8831-11.9676
1210:51 PM-5.58049-6.82794-1.24745
1810:57 PM-1.292461.18088+2.47334
2411:03 PM0.797833-2.42132-3.21916
2911:08 PM0.232559-5.30662-5.53918

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.