Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 10:35 PM to 11:04 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 10:35 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -21.2949. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:04 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-25.73-11.812.104Sep 10, 10:35 PM ET11:04 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:35 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-25.73-11.812.104Sep 10, 10:35 PM ET11:04 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:35 PM ET-21.2949
Projected value at 11:04 PM ET-0.489069
Actual value at 11:04 PM ET-1.09926
Projected change across the window+20.8058
Actual change across the window+20.1956
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.03×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.03 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (11:04 PM ET), where they sat 0.610195 apart, and furthest at bar 11 (10:46 PM ET) with a gap of 18.8915. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (10:44 PM ET), a move of +4.52868. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:36 PM-27.5983-21.6831+5.91518
610:41 PM-21.062-14.3375+6.72451
1210:47 PM-14.40773.97279+18.3805
1810:53 PM-7.84611-3.62353+4.22258
2410:59 PM-3.10603-4.68603-1.58
2911:04 PM-0.489069-1.09926-0.610195

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.