Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 9:17 PM to 9:46 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 9:17 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 7.90735. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:46 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-16.59-5.1116.366Sep 10, 9:17 PM ET9:46 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:17 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-16.59-5.1116.366Sep 10, 9:17 PM ET9:46 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:17 PM ET7.90735
Projected value at 9:46 PM ET0.40167
Actual value at 9:46 PM ET2.54926
Projected change across the window-7.50568
Actual change across the window-5.35809
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.40×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.40 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 9 (9:25 PM ET), where they sat 0.188526 apart, and furthest at bar 21 (9:38 PM ET) with a gap of 14.7856. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 24 (9:41 PM ET), a move of +4.08529. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:18 PM-4.612857.08382+11.6967
69:23 PM-7.65277-3.1875+4.46527
129:29 PM-6.92167-14.3037-7.38201
189:35 PM-4.17571-14.8088-10.6331
249:41 PM-1.38927-10.2382-8.84897
299:46 PM0.401672.54926+2.14759

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.