Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 8:06 PM to 8:35 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 8:06 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -12.9676. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:35 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-11.063.17217.4Sep 10, 8:06 PM ET8:35 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:06 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-11.063.17217.4Sep 10, 8:06 PM ET8:35 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:06 PM ET-12.9676
Projected value at 8:35 PM ET-0.00589872
Actual value at 8:35 PM ET-1.90074
Projected change across the window+12.9617
Actual change across the window+11.0669
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.17×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.17 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 6 (8:11 PM ET), where they sat 0.457457 apart, and furthest at bar 10 (8:16 PM ET) with a gap of 15.6542. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (8:20 PM ET), a move of -5.84265. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:07 PM2.13399-10.5765-12.7105
68:12 PM3.143376.62426+3.4809
128:18 PM4.2626715.5809+11.3182
188:24 PM5.194893.29338-1.90151
248:30 PM2.841168.20809+5.36693
298:35 PM-0.00589872-1.90074-1.89484

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.