Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 6:42 PM to 7:11 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 6:42 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -24.8074. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:11 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-24.68-7.04510.59Sep 10, 6:42 PM ET7:11 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:42 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-24.68-7.04510.59Sep 10, 6:42 PM ET7:11 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:42 PM ET-24.8074
Projected value at 7:11 PM ET-0.947344
Actual value at 7:11 PM ET12.9603
Projected change across the window+23.86
Actual change across the window+37.7676
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.63×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.63 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 9 (6:50 PM ET), where they sat 0.155902 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (7:11 PM ET) with a gap of 13.9076. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (6:46 PM ET), a move of +4.52426. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:43 PM-22.2547-27.05-4.79529
66:48 PM-17.2078-14.5816+2.6262
126:54 PM-10.655-17.6493-6.99427
187:00 PM-4.37696-14.4279-10.051
247:06 PM-1.8404-3.35368-1.51328
297:11 PM-0.94734412.9603+13.9076

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.