Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 6:40 PM to 7:09 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -26.7603. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:09 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-24.25-5.58113.09Sep 10, 6:40 PM ET7:09 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:40 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-24.25-5.58113.09Sep 10, 6:40 PM ET7:09 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:40 PM ET-26.7603
Projected value at 7:09 PM ET-0.257782
Actual value at 7:09 PM ET15.5978
Projected change across the window+26.5025
Actual change across the window+42.3581
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.63×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.63 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 9 (6:48 PM ET), where they sat 0.0761635 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (7:09 PM ET) with a gap of 15.8556. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (6:42 PM ET), a move of +4.52426. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:41 PM-21.2998-23.5728-2.27299
66:46 PM-18.738-15.064+3.67404
126:52 PM-12.5999-18.8191-6.21921
186:58 PM-5.67196-10.0103-4.33833
247:04 PM-2.013591.54779+3.56138
297:09 PM-0.25778215.5978+15.8556

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.