Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 6:01 PM to 6:30 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 6:01 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 31.4147. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:30 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-14.9410.2735.47Sep 10, 6:01 PM ET6:30 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:01 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-14.9410.2735.47Sep 10, 6:01 PM ET6:30 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:01 PM ET31.4147
Projected value at 6:30 PM ET0.940939
Actual value at 6:30 PM ET-4.75074
Projected change across the window-30.4738
Actual change across the window-36.1654
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.84×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.84 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (6:21 PM ET), where they sat 0.550667 apart, and furthest at bar 13 (6:14 PM ET) with a gap of 39.4277. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 17 (6:18 PM ET), a move of -7.40882. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:02 PM-4.2106430.6162+34.8268
66:07 PM0.13361135.9015+35.7679
126:13 PM-0.70652637.4949+38.2014
186:19 PM0.58178711.8676+11.2859
246:25 PM0.269223-18.3279-18.5972
296:30 PM0.940939-4.75074-5.69167

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.