Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 4:04 PM to 4:33 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 4:04 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -14.0493. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:33 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-30.15-9.10711.94Sep 10, 4:04 PM ET4:33 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:04 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-30.15-9.10711.94Sep 10, 4:04 PM ET4:33 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:04 PM ET-14.0493
Projected value at 4:33 PM ET0.348795
Actual value at 4:33 PM ET5.27353
Projected change across the window+14.3981
Actual change across the window+19.3228
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.75×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.75 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 17 (4:20 PM ET), where they sat 0.0103812 apart, and furthest at bar 7 (4:11 PM ET) with a gap of 21.9614. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (4:13 PM ET), a move of +6.55294. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:05 PM-13.909-13.1926+0.716326
64:10 PM-11.6876-32.4353-20.7477
124:16 PM-7.4132-10.8941-3.48092
184:22 PM-1.692443.93456+5.627
244:28 PM0.1579959.72941+9.57142
294:33 PM0.3487955.27353+4.92473

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.