Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 4:02 PM to 4:31 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 4:02 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -16.2919. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:31 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-30.15-9.10711.94Sep 10, 4:02 PM ET4:31 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:02 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-30.15-9.10711.94Sep 10, 4:02 PM ET4:31 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:02 PM ET-16.2919
Projected value at 4:31 PM ET-3.26037
Actual value at 4:31 PM ET-0.1
Projected change across the window+13.0315
Actual change across the window+16.1919
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.80×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.80 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 12 (4:13 PM ET), where they sat 0.84931 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (4:06 PM ET) with a gap of 17.6705. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (4:08 PM ET), a move of +6.55294. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:03 PM-13.465-22.4743-9.00927
64:08 PM-13.9535-23.4066-9.45311
124:14 PM-10.4405-8.21985+2.22062
184:20 PM-5.83655.55882+11.3953
244:26 PM-2.7445714.7647+17.5093
294:31 PM-3.26037-0.1+3.16037

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.