Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 3:59 PM to 4:28 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 3:59 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -32.4353. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:28 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-30.15-9.10711.94Sep 10, 3:59 PM ET4:28 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:59 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-30.15-9.10711.94Sep 10, 3:59 PM ET4:28 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:59 PM ET-32.4353
Projected value at 4:28 PM ET0.473159
Actual value at 4:28 PM ET3.33162
Projected change across the window+32.9085
Actual change across the window+35.7669
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.92×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.92 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 7 (4:05 PM ET), where they sat 0.0242872 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (4:00 PM ET) with a gap of 18.7751. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (4:02 PM ET), a move of +6.55294. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:00 PM-14.2043-32.9794-18.7751
64:05 PM-10.9184-10.8941+0.0242872
124:11 PM-8.314593.93456+12.2491
184:17 PM-2.618739.72941+12.3481
244:23 PM0.7310972.08456+1.35346
294:28 PM0.4731593.33162+2.85846

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.