Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 3:40 PM to 4:09 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 3:40 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 9.72941. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:09 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-18.43-2.87712.68Sep 10, 3:40 PM ET4:09 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:40 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-18.43-2.87712.68Sep 10, 3:40 PM ET4:09 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:40 PM ET9.72941
Projected value at 4:09 PM ET0.244056
Actual value at 4:09 PM ET4.14706
Projected change across the window-9.48536
Actual change across the window-5.58235
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.70×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.70 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 11 (3:50 PM ET), where they sat 0.167396 apart, and furthest at bar 18 (3:58 PM ET) with a gap of 21.362. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (3:45 PM ET), a move of -6.40294. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:41 PM3.7830312.0559+8.27285
63:46 PM4.863682.08456-2.77912
123:52 PM3.471112.38162-1.08949
183:58 PM0.842838-20.5191-21.362
244:04 PM0.721816-0.696324-1.41814
294:09 PM0.2440564.14706+3.903

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.