Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 11:09 AM to 11:38 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 11:09 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -35.9603. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:38 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-33.43-14.614.211Sep 10, 11:09 AM ET11:38 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:09 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-33.43-14.614.211Sep 10, 11:09 AM ET11:38 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:09 AM ET-35.9603
Projected value at 11:38 AM ET2.52573
Actual value at 11:38 AM ET-2.23676
Projected change across the window+38.486
Actual change across the window+33.7235
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.14×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.14 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (11:35 AM ET), where they sat 0.367552 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (11:10 AM ET) with a gap of 39.6626. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (11:17 AM ET), a move of +11.6824. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:10 AM4.35447-35.3081-39.6626
611:15 AM6.55243-21.1765-27.7289
1211:21 AM5.97163-1.88824-7.85987
1811:27 AM4.21298-0.975-5.18798
2411:33 AM3.748314.27941+0.531097
2911:38 AM2.52573-2.23676-4.76249

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.