Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 11:08 AM to 11:37 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 11:08 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -35.3081. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:37 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-32.88-14.793.306Sep 10, 11:08 AM ET11:37 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:08 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-32.88-14.793.306Sep 10, 11:08 AM ET11:37 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:08 AM ET-35.3081
Projected value at 11:37 AM ET-0.822473
Actual value at 11:37 AM ET-7.64191
Projected change across the window+34.4856
Actual change across the window+27.6662
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.25×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.25 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (11:29 AM ET), where they sat 0.450206 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (11:10 AM ET) with a gap of 38.5101. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (11:15 AM ET), a move of +11.6824. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:09 AM2.94436-34.3007-37.2451
611:14 AM5.60051-14.414-20.0145
1211:20 AM3.67552-7.41324-11.0888
1811:26 AM0.245749-1.39559-1.64134
2411:32 AM0.9860875.49853+4.51244
2911:37 AM-0.822473-7.64191-6.81944

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.