Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 10:45 AM to 11:14 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 10:45 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 4.27941. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:14 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-18.197.66433.51Sep 10, 10:45 AM ET11:14 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:45 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-18.197.66433.51Sep 10, 10:45 AM ET11:14 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:45 AM ET4.27941
Projected value at 11:14 AM ET-1.91127
Actual value at 11:14 AM ET-3.51618
Projected change across the window-6.19068
Actual change across the window-7.79559
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.79×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.79 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (11:10 AM ET), where they sat 0.0578482 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (10:45 AM ET) with a gap of 32.707. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (10:52 AM ET), a move of -5.65294. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:46 AM29.9165.49853-24.4175
610:51 AM13.469-7.64191-21.1109
1210:57 AM-2.90101-15.3941-12.4931
1811:03 AM-3.48249-3.76691-0.284417
2411:09 AM-5.54352-6.46618-0.922653
2911:14 AM-1.91127-3.51618-1.60491

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.