Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 10:43 AM to 11:12 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 10:43 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 5.175. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:12 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-17.1616.3449.83Sep 10, 10:43 AM ET11:12 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:43 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-17.1616.3449.83Sep 10, 10:43 AM ET11:12 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:43 AM ET5.175
Projected value at 11:12 AM ET-0.581681
Actual value at 11:12 AM ET-2.49926
Projected change across the window-5.75668
Actual change across the window-7.67426
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.75×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.75 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (11:11 AM ET), where they sat 1.32618 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (10:43 AM ET) with a gap of 49.1542. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (10:48 AM ET), a move of -5.65294. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:44 AM46.14954.60956-41.54
610:49 AM22.3166-17.6522-39.9688
1210:55 AM3.87092-10.6066-14.4775
1811:01 AM1.07421-3.93897-5.01318
2411:07 AM-2.59719-5.91544-3.31825
2911:12 AM-0.581681-2.49926-1.91758

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.