Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 9:56 AM to 10:25 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 9:56 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 17.7397. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:25 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-25.98-5.47215.04Sep 10, 9:56 AM ET10:25 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:56 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-25.98-5.47215.04Sep 10, 9:56 AM ET10:25 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:56 AM ET17.7397
Projected value at 10:25 AM ET2.70018
Actual value at 10:25 AM ET-10.2309
Projected change across the window-15.0395
Actual change across the window-27.9706
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.54×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.54 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 14 (10:09 AM ET), where they sat 2.36223 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (9:59 AM ET) with a gap of 32.1387. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (10:07 AM ET), a move of -8.32574. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:57 AM-11.314217.7934+29.1076
610:02 AM-20.21479.10588+29.3206
1210:08 AM-22.4423-18.6721+3.77025
1810:14 AM-16.5573-23.9404-7.38315
2410:20 AM-8.87713-25.1338-16.2567
2910:25 AM2.70018-10.2309-12.9311

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.