Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 9:53 AM to 10:22 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 9:53 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 11.9684. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:22 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-25.67-2.80520.06Sep 10, 9:53 AM ET10:22 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:53 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-25.67-2.80520.06Sep 10, 9:53 AM ET10:22 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:53 AM ET11.9684
Projected value at 10:22 AM ET0.280228
Actual value at 10:22 AM ET-0.385294
Projected change across the window-11.6882
Actual change across the window-12.3537
Bars moving the same direction24 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.95×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.95 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 83% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (10:21 AM ET), where they sat 0.158623 apart, and furthest at bar 11 (10:04 AM ET) with a gap of 16.4373. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (10:00 AM ET), a move of -8.32574. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:54 AM10.696510.4831-0.213362
69:59 AM-5.0757-2.80735+2.26835
1210:05 AM-12.7023-26.8853-14.183
1810:11 AM-15.9342-28.211-12.2769
2410:17 AM-7.81574-12.6007-4.785
2910:22 AM0.280228-0.385294-0.665522

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.