Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 9:51 AM to 10:20 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 9:51 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 9.10588. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:20 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-24.169.94644.05Sep 10, 9:51 AM ET10:20 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:51 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-24.169.94644.05Sep 10, 9:51 AM ET10:20 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:51 AM ET9.10588
Projected value at 10:20 AM ET-2.49168
Actual value at 10:20 AM ET0.174265
Projected change across the window-11.5976
Actual change across the window-8.93162
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.30×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.30 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 25 (10:15 AM ET), where they sat 1.30746 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (9:51 AM ET) with a gap of 39.522. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (9:56 AM ET), a move of -8.32574. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:52 AM39.64877.83015-31.8186
69:57 AM15.9366-18.6721-34.6087
1210:03 AM3.37882-23.9404-27.3193
1810:09 AM-4.11419-25.1338-21.0196
2410:15 AM-5.89769-7.20515-1.30746
2910:20 AM-2.491680.174265+2.66594

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.