Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 9:28 AM to 9:57 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 9:28 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -10.2309. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:57 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-15.29-2.46410.37Sep 10, 9:28 AM ET9:57 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:28 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-15.29-2.46410.37Sep 10, 9:28 AM ET9:57 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:28 AM ET-10.2309
Projected value at 9:57 AM ET2.37478
Actual value at 9:57 AM ET-17.0176
Projected change across the window+12.6057
Actual change across the window-6.78676
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.86×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.86 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (9:48 AM ET), where they sat 3.27124 apart, and furthest at bar 28 (9:56 AM ET) with a gap of 19.4345. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 24 (9:52 AM ET), a move of -3.89706. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:29 AM0.315665-7.20515-7.52081
69:34 AM10.66170.174265-10.4874
129:40 AM10.2339-1.09338-11.3273
189:46 AM8.365621.00882-7.35679
249:52 AM5.17584-5.90515-11.081
299:57 AM2.37478-17.0176-19.3924

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.