Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 9:27 AM to 9:56 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 9:27 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -10.2309. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:56 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-15.75-6.3113.127Sep 10, 9:27 AM ET9:56 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:27 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-15.75-6.3113.127Sep 10, 9:27 AM ET9:56 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:27 AM ET-10.2309
Projected value at 9:56 AM ET1.87919
Actual value at 9:56 AM ET-17.0176
Projected change across the window+12.1101
Actual change across the window-6.78676
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.78×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.78 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 14 (9:40 AM ET), where they sat 0.37376 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (9:56 AM ET) with a gap of 18.8968. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 24 (9:51 AM ET), a move of -3.89706. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:28 AM-8.83049-7.20515+1.62534
69:33 AM-5.475150.174265+5.64941
129:39 AM-2.0471-1.09338+0.953719
189:45 AM1.522131.00882-0.513309
249:51 AM1.61986-5.90515-7.52501
299:56 AM1.87919-17.0176-18.8968

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.