Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 8:55 AM to 9:24 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 8:55 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -18.711. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:24 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-51.57-25.530.5073Sep 10, 8:55 AM ET9:24 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:55 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-51.57-25.530.5073Sep 10, 8:55 AM ET9:24 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:55 AM ET-18.711
Projected value at 9:24 AM ET3.39569
Actual value at 9:24 AM ET1.71544
Projected change across the window+22.1067
Actual change across the window+20.4265
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.08×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.08 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 14 (9:08 AM ET), where they sat 0.0320784 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (8:55 AM ET) with a gap of 36.3567. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 21 (9:16 AM ET), a move of +3.11029. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:56 AM-53.5345-20.0647+33.4698
69:01 AM-29.7177-15.1441+14.5736
129:07 AM-7.4341-8.82941-1.39531
189:13 AM-0.261306-6.45221-6.1909
249:19 AM1.663334.00441+2.34108
299:24 AM3.395691.71544-1.68025

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.