Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 8:19 AM to 8:48 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 8:19 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -14.3493. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:48 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-23.21-7.7237.76Sep 10, 8:19 AM ET8:48 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:19 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-23.21-7.7237.76Sep 10, 8:19 AM ET8:48 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:19 AM ET-14.3493
Projected value at 8:48 AM ET0.347396
Actual value at 8:48 AM ET0.616176
Projected change across the window+14.6967
Actual change across the window+14.9654
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.98×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.98 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (8:48 AM ET), where they sat 0.268781 apart, and furthest at bar 7 (8:26 AM ET) with a gap of 11.8055. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (8:24 AM ET), a move of +3.83162. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:20 AM-23.5087-14.2154+9.2933
68:25 AM-8.866321.19706+10.0634
128:31 AM-3.130824.89044+8.02126
188:37 AM1.068199.00294+7.93475
248:43 AM1.274418.43088+7.15648
298:48 AM0.3473960.616176+0.268781

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.