Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 7:34 AM to 8:03 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 7:34 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -29.55. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:03 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-27.02-8.18510.65Sep 10, 7:34 AM ET8:03 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:34 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-27.02-8.18510.65Sep 10, 7:34 AM ET8:03 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:34 AM ET-29.55
Projected value at 8:03 AM ET0.92737
Actual value at 8:03 AM ET-13.6221
Projected change across the window+30.4774
Actual change across the window+15.9279
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.91×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.91 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (7:54 AM ET), where they sat 10.2362 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (7:35 AM ET) with a gap of 35.0733. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (7:37 AM ET), a move of +3.86324. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:35 AM7.18137-27.8919-35.0733
67:40 AM12.8234-9.68529-22.5087
127:46 AM9.23751-3.13235-12.3699
187:52 AM6.31512-4.76765-11.0828
247:58 AM3.50242-12.514-16.0164
298:03 AM0.92737-13.6221-14.5494

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.