Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 7:32 AM to 8:01 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 7:32 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -24.489. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:01 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-22.82-10.392.036Sep 10, 7:32 AM ET8:01 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:32 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-22.82-10.392.036Sep 10, 7:32 AM ET8:01 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:32 AM ET-24.489
Projected value at 8:01 AM ET0.78124
Actual value at 8:01 AM ET-7.99412
Projected change across the window+25.2702
Actual change across the window+16.4949
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.53×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.53 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 9 (7:40 AM ET), where they sat 5.17165 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (7:32 AM ET) with a gap of 21.5214. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (7:33 AM ET), a move of +3.86324. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:33 AM-1.46459-20.6257-19.1611
67:38 AM3.47232-4.94044-8.41276
127:44 AM2.72681-4.46691-7.19372
187:50 AM0.914298-4.84044-5.75474
247:56 AM1.09893-16.5088-17.6078
298:01 AM0.78124-7.99412-8.77536

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.