Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 6:19 AM to 6:48 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 6:19 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -19.686. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:48 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-17.64-2.37412.89Sep 10, 6:19 AM ET6:48 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:19 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-17.64-2.37412.89Sep 10, 6:19 AM ET6:48 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:19 AM ET-19.686
Projected value at 6:48 AM ET0.387219
Actual value at 6:48 AM ET14.9375
Projected change across the window+20.0732
Actual change across the window+34.6235
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.58×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.58 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (6:45 AM ET), where they sat 0.0585905 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (6:48 AM ET) with a gap of 14.5503. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 28 (6:47 AM ET), a move of +5.76985. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:20 AM-6.64457-18.6735-12.029
66:25 AM-6.42742-17.3559-10.9285
126:31 AM-3.50856-12.6654-9.15688
186:37 AM-1.99395-7.04485-5.0509
246:43 AM-0.774726-7.82721-7.05248
296:48 AM0.38721914.9375+14.5503

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.