Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 5:49 AM to 6:18 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 5:49 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 16.9978. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:18 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

1.27812.8524.43Sep 10, 5:49 AM ET6:18 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:49 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

1.27812.8524.43Sep 10, 5:49 AM ET6:18 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:49 AM ET16.9978
Projected value at 6:18 AM ET-0.276439
Actual value at 6:18 AM ET3.05809
Projected change across the window-17.2742
Actual change across the window-13.9397
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.24×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.24 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (6:11 AM ET), where they sat 0.608814 apart, and furthest at bar 16 (6:05 AM ET) with a gap of 15.0335. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 21 (6:10 AM ET), a move of -3.92279. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:50 AM8.0376816.9993+8.96159
65:55 AM11.283113.2096+1.92643
126:01 AM11.633325.9816+14.3483
186:07 AM8.1844720.0324+11.8479
246:13 AM4.078446.53088+2.45244
296:18 AM-0.2764393.05809+3.33453

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.