Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 5:47 AM to 6:16 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 5:47 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 16.1978. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:16 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-1.32411.4724.26Sep 10, 5:47 AM ET6:16 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:47 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-1.32411.4724.26Sep 10, 5:47 AM ET6:16 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:47 AM ET16.1978
Projected value at 6:16 AM ET-0.6583
Actual value at 6:16 AM ET3.73015
Projected change across the window-16.8561
Actual change across the window-12.4676
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.35×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.35 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (6:07 AM ET), where they sat 0.152984 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (5:47 AM ET) with a gap of 19.2398. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 19 (6:06 AM ET), a move of -3.92279. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:48 AM2.543214.6324+12.0892
65:53 AM8.7544217.4493+8.69484
125:59 AM10.821824.8816+14.0598
186:05 AM8.5225912.9735+4.45094
246:11 AM3.393184.80809+1.41491
296:16 AM-0.65833.73015+4.38845

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.