Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 3:28 AM to 3:57 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 3:28 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -20.7934. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:57 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-18.66-2.77513.11Sep 10, 3:28 AM ET3:57 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:28 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-18.66-2.77513.11Sep 10, 3:28 AM ET3:57 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:28 AM ET-20.7934
Projected value at 3:57 AM ET0.188647
Actual value at 3:57 AM ET9.74191
Projected change across the window+20.982
Actual change across the window+30.5353
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.69×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.69 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 5 (3:32 AM ET), where they sat 0.471446 apart, and furthest at bar 23 (3:51 AM ET) with a gap of 17.8954. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (3:32 AM ET), a move of +3.94338. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:29 AM-11.1939-20.0154-8.82152
63:34 AM-9.04446-4.025+5.01946
123:40 AM-7.024681.30515+8.32982
183:46 AM-5.520910.3618+15.8827
243:52 AM-2.25914.8287+17.0877
293:57 AM0.1886479.74191+9.55326

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.