Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 3:26 AM to 3:55 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 3:26 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -17.3574. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:55 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-15.43-1.05713.31Sep 10, 3:26 AM ET3:55 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:26 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-15.43-1.05713.31Sep 10, 3:26 AM ET3:55 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:26 AM ET-17.3574
Projected value at 3:55 AM ET0.0637369
Actual value at 3:55 AM ET13.7544
Projected change across the window+17.4211
Actual change across the window+31.1118
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.56×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.56 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 4 (3:29 AM ET), where they sat 1.73961 apart, and furthest at bar 21 (3:47 AM ET) with a gap of 18.5051. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (3:28 AM ET), a move of +3.94338. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:27 AM-5.99273-13.9199-7.92713
63:32 AM-7.6897-1.02132+6.66837
123:38 AM-5.684456.30368+11.9881
183:44 AM-4.8787912.6993+17.5781
243:50 AM-2.2871111.8154+14.1026
293:55 AM0.063736913.7544+13.6907

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.