Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 2:44 AM to 3:13 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 2:44 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 24.2007. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:13 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-15.183.27621.73Sep 10, 2:44 AM ET3:13 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:44 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-15.183.27621.73Sep 10, 2:44 AM ET3:13 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:44 AM ET24.2007
Projected value at 3:13 AM ET-0.0727808
Actual value at 3:13 AM ET-13.325
Projected change across the window-24.2735
Actual change across the window-37.5257
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.65×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.65 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 6 (2:49 AM ET), where they sat 0.604889 apart, and furthest at bar 25 (3:09 AM ET) with a gap of 17.5902. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (2:51 AM ET), a move of -3.72941. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:45 AM16.784724.2081+7.42338
62:50 AM13.359811.9265-1.43334
122:56 AM6.01622-6.10882-12.125
183:02 AM1.78199-8.94779-10.7298
243:08 AM0.548815-16.9669-17.5157
293:13 AM-0.0727808-13.325-13.2522

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.