Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 1:49 AM to 2:18 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 1:49 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 19.8669. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:18 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-20.78-1.73317.31Sep 10, 1:49 AM ET2:18 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:49 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-20.78-1.73317.31Sep 10, 1:49 AM ET2:18 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:49 AM ET19.8669
Projected value at 2:18 AM ET0.0170809
Actual value at 2:18 AM ET-14.889
Projected change across the window-19.8498
Actual change across the window-34.7559
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.57×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.57 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 2 (1:50 AM ET), where they sat 0.27367 apart, and furthest at bar 11 (2:00 AM ET) with a gap of 27.4104. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (1:58 AM ET), a move of -5.30368. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:50 AM17.126317.4+0.27367
61:55 AM10.0687-1.11324-11.182
122:01 AM3.37348-23.3338-26.7073
182:07 AM1.72865-22.1044-23.8331
242:13 AM1.31183-19.0559-20.3677
292:18 AM0.0170809-14.889-14.9061

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.