Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 12:08 AM to 12:37 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 12:08 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 27.1338. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:37 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

1.21213.3625.5Sep 10, 12:08 AM ET12:37 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:08 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

1.21213.3625.5Sep 10, 12:08 AM ET12:37 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:08 AM ET27.1338
Projected value at 12:37 AM ET-0.419207
Actual value at 12:37 AM ET1.22721
Projected change across the window-27.553
Actual change across the window-25.9066
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.06×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.06 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 25 (12:32 AM ET), where they sat 0.216947 apart, and furthest at bar 11 (12:19 AM ET) with a gap of 19.9352. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (12:22 AM ET), a move of -4.51397. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:09 AM11.7825.6279+13.848
612:14 AM7.8975722.7809+14.8833
1212:20 AM4.2067523.3478+19.141
1812:26 AM2.85944.71912+1.85971
2412:32 AM1.21321.43015+0.216947
2912:37 AM-0.4192071.22721+1.64641

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.