Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 11:52 PM to 12:21 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 11:52 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 11.2213. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:21 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-0.28626.38113.05Sep 9, 11:52 PM ET12:21 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:52 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-0.28626.38113.05Sep 9, 11:52 PM ET12:21 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:52 PM ET11.2213
Projected value at 12:21 AM ET-0.449506
Actual value at 12:21 AM ET-0.0639706
Projected change across the window-11.6708
Actual change across the window-11.2853
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.03×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.03 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (12:18 AM ET), where they sat 0.353994 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (11:56 PM ET) with a gap of 7.81466. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (11:53 PM ET), a move of -2.78235. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:53 PM12.92218.43897-4.48309
611:58 PM11.02633.75-7.27632
1212:04 AM6.55871.05294-5.50576
1812:10 AM3.301421.17279-2.12863
2412:16 AM0.385981-1.10147-1.48745
2912:21 AM-0.449506-0.0639706+0.385535

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.