Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 11:23 PM to 11:52 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 11:23 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 0.3375. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:52 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-14.5-7.2230.05749Sep 9, 11:23 PM ET11:52 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:23 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-14.5-7.2230.05749Sep 9, 11:23 PM ET11:52 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:23 PM ET0.3375
Projected value at 11:52 PM ET-0.94786
Actual value at 11:52 PM ET-2.07279
Projected change across the window-1.28536
Actual change across the window-2.41029
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.53×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.53 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 24 (11:46 PM ET), where they sat 0.100759 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (11:26 PM ET) with a gap of 14.7626. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (11:29 PM ET), a move of -2.24559. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:24 PM-9.34781.03529+10.3831
611:29 PM-14.9278-5.81176+9.11599
1211:35 PM-12.3969-5.53971+6.85719
1811:41 PM-7.17528-2.0875+5.08778
2411:47 PM-2.83103-3.69338-0.862355
2911:52 PM-0.94786-2.07279-1.12493

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.