Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 10:54 PM to 11:23 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 10:54 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -3.00441. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:23 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-6.4824.95816.4Sep 9, 10:54 PM ET11:23 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:54 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-6.4824.95816.4Sep 9, 10:54 PM ET11:23 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:54 PM ET-3.00441
Projected value at 11:23 PM ET0.144994
Actual value at 11:23 PM ET-8.01838
Projected change across the window+3.14941
Actual change across the window-5.01397
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.63×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.63 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 17 (11:10 PM ET), where they sat 0.280269 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (10:54 PM ET) with a gap of 20.7187. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 22 (11:16 PM ET), a move of -1.35441. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:55 PM17.8006-2.07279-19.8734
611:00 PM14.00972.69559-11.3142
1211:06 PM6.593482.86985-3.72362
1811:12 PM2.461262.01029-0.450969
2411:18 PM1.11972-3.38529-4.50501
2911:23 PM0.144994-8.01838-8.16338

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.