Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 7:21 PM to 7:50 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 7:21 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -13.3221. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:50 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-15.730.57516.88Sep 9, 7:21 PM ET7:50 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:21 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-15.730.57516.88Sep 9, 7:21 PM ET7:50 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:21 PM ET-13.3221
Projected value at 7:50 PM ET-0.196082
Actual value at 7:50 PM ET10.6287
Projected change across the window+13.126
Actual change across the window+23.9507
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.55×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.55 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 14 (7:34 PM ET), where they sat 0.572805 apart, and furthest at bar 24 (7:45 PM ET) with a gap of 18.9056. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (7:34 PM ET), a move of +2.93235. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:22 PM-0.177255-16.0074-15.8301
67:27 PM-1.26479-15.1882-13.9234
127:33 PM-0.566084-2.65147-2.08539
187:39 PM0.5543018.90074+8.34643
247:45 PM0.15910219.0647+18.9056
297:50 PM-0.19608210.6287+10.8248

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.