Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 6:33 PM to 7:02 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 6:33 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -10.4309. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:02 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-9.1670.24019.648Sep 9, 6:33 PM ET7:02 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:33 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-9.1670.24019.648Sep 9, 6:33 PM ET7:02 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:33 PM ET-10.4309
Projected value at 7:02 PM ET0.30988
Actual value at 7:02 PM ET9.32132
Projected change across the window+10.7408
Actual change across the window+19.7522
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.54×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.54 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 8 (6:40 PM ET), where they sat 0.0875061 apart, and furthest at bar 15 (6:48 PM ET) with a gap of 10.171. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (6:47 PM ET), a move of +4.40956. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:34 PM-1.20645-8.84853-7.64208
66:39 PM0.04014210.552941+0.512799
126:45 PM0.2766161.31471+1.03809
186:51 PM0.5130977.65956+7.14646
246:57 PM0.05296616.11691+6.06395
297:02 PM0.309889.32132+9.01144

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.