Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 2:24 PM to 2:53 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 2:24 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -57.4265. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:53 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-50.322.58555.49Sep 9, 2:24 PM ET2:53 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:24 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-50.322.58555.49Sep 9, 2:24 PM ET2:53 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:24 PM ET-57.4265
Projected value at 2:53 PM ET0.825992
Actual value at 2:53 PM ET44.4904
Projected change across the window+58.2525
Actual change across the window+101.917
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.57×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.57 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 9 (2:32 PM ET), where they sat 4.63713 apart, and furthest at bar 18 (2:42 PM ET) with a gap of 57.7589. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (2:31 PM ET), a move of +13.5324. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:25 PM-4.78571-53.3904-48.6047
62:30 PM1.42279-17.4831-18.9059
122:36 PM3.4821133.7757+30.2936
182:42 PM4.6623862.4213+57.7589
242:48 PM3.0634657.4+54.3365
292:53 PM0.82599244.4904+43.6644

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.