Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 2:23 PM to 2:52 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 2:23 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -53.3904. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:52 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-46.524.60355.73Sep 9, 2:23 PM ET2:52 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:23 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-46.524.60355.73Sep 9, 2:23 PM ET2:52 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:23 PM ET-53.3904
Projected value at 2:52 PM ET1.46285
Actual value at 2:52 PM ET40.2941
Projected change across the window+54.8533
Actual change across the window+93.6846
Bars moving the same direction24 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.59×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.59 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 83% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 7 (2:29 PM ET), where they sat 1.40964 apart, and furthest at bar 16 (2:39 PM ET) with a gap of 59.1373. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (2:29 PM ET), a move of +13.5324. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:24 PM-8.39996-49.025-40.625
62:29 PM-2.5411-3.95074-1.40964
122:35 PM1.3482539.2287+37.8804
182:41 PM3.1149558.8507+55.7358
242:47 PM2.8822359.7007+56.8185
292:52 PM1.4628540.2941+38.8313

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.