Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 2:20 PM to 2:49 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -34.3596. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:49 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-28.6214.1256.86Sep 9, 2:20 PM ET2:49 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:20 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-28.6214.1256.86Sep 9, 2:20 PM ET2:49 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:20 PM ET-34.3596
Projected value at 2:49 PM ET0.568523
Actual value at 2:49 PM ET32.1426
Projected change across the window+34.9281
Actual change across the window+66.5022
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.53×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.53 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 3 (2:22 PM ET), where they sat 2.7507 apart, and furthest at bar 13 (2:33 PM ET) with a gap of 68.1448. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (2:23 PM ET), a move of +13.5324. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:21 PM-15.146-27.4993-12.3532
62:26 PM-12.337323.3309+35.6682
122:32 PM-6.4513458.364+64.8153
182:38 PM-2.0554254.8272+56.8826
242:44 PM-0.092059748.6566+48.7487
292:49 PM0.56852332.1426+31.5741

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.