Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 1:32 PM to 2:01 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 1:32 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 32.7985. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:01 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-13.368.26629.89Sep 9, 1:32 PM ET2:01 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:32 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-13.368.26629.89Sep 9, 1:32 PM ET2:01 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:32 PM ET32.7985
Projected value at 2:01 PM ET-2.70669
Actual value at 2:01 PM ET14.2581
Projected change across the window-35.5052
Actual change across the window-18.5404
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.92×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.92 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (1:53 PM ET), where they sat 13.6543 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (1:34 PM ET) with a gap of 46.1547. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (1:36 PM ET), a move of -5.275. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:33 PM-11.915832.7757+44.6915
61:38 PM-14.512217.4551+31.9673
121:44 PM-10.77219.21103+19.9831
181:50 PM-7.414477.49412+14.9086
241:56 PM-5.2433410.3176+15.561
292:01 PM-2.7066914.2581+16.9648

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.